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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+128/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +143 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Lamar Jackson has been among the leading TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 1.60 per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded the 7th-most touchdowns through the air in football: 1.60 per game this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 31.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.

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