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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.8% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects Lamar Jackson to garner 8.6 carries in this game, on average: the most out of all quarterbacks.

Taking on 29.1% of his team's run game usage this year (100th percentile among QBs), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a significant threat in the run game.

With an outstanding total of 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (100th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been among the best running QBs in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

This year, the fierce Steelers run defense has conceded a mere 87.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-best in football.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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