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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 49.8% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is expected by the projection model to garner the most carries among all QBs with 9.9.
  • Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball, comprising 29.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Ravens.
  • Lamar Jackson's 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a noteable regression in his rushing talent over last year's 66.0 figure.
  • Lamar Jackson's 5.89 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year illustrates a meaningful regression in his running proficiency over last year's 7.94 mark.
  • This year, the anemic Seahawks run defense has allowed a staggering 3.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 31st-worst rate in the league.

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