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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to run on 50.2% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 137.0 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to earn 10.4 carries in this week's contest, on average: the most out of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Lamar Jackson has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (66.0).
  • Lamar Jackson's 6.21 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a noteable regression in his running skills over last season's 7.94 rate.
  • The Houston Texans defense owns the best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Houston's group of DEs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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