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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens have been the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 44.9% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to notch 7.9 carries in this contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.

Lamar Jackson has generated 64.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among QBs (97th percentile).

Lamar Jackson's rushing efficiency (7.86 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (100th percentile among quarterbacks).

Lamar Jackson has been among the top QBs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.70 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Lamar Jackson has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (20.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (28.7%).

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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