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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+107/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to earn 9.0 carries in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.

Accounting for 30.8% of his offense's carries this year (98th percentile when it comes to QBs), Lamar Jackson's mobility marks him as a significant weapon as a ball-carrier.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

The model projects the Ravens to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Lamar Jackson's 56.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a meaningful diminishment in his rushing talent over last year's 66.0 figure.

Lamar Jackson's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling just 6.09 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.94 rate last year.

This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers run defense has surrendered a measly 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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