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Lamar Jackson
NFL · Player Props
Lamar Jackson
QB · Baltimore Ravens
Rushing Yards
Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 17, 2023 1:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-104/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -104.

Favors Over
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 48.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • In this contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by the model to accrue the most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 9.3.
  • Making up 30.1% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (100th percentile among QBs), Lamar Jackson's mobility marks him as a dangerous threat with his legs.
  • The Bengals defense owns the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.98 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Favors Under
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens offense to lean 3.6% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Ravens are anticipated by the predictive model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • Lamar Jackson has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (66.0).
  • Lamar Jackson's ground efficiency has diminished this year, averaging just 5.90 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.94 figure last year.
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