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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Lamar Jackson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+179/-255).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -206 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -255.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 10th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 44.9% red zone run rate.

Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to take off running near the end zone, accounting for 27.3% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts this year (97th percentile among QBs).

Lamar Jackson has run for 0.18 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among QBs (81st percentile).

The Denver Broncos defensive ends profile as the 3rd-worst DE corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have run for the 4th-least TDs in football (0.55 per game) vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year.

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