My Account Log Out

reorder

Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 201.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 210.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 201.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

With a stellar 7.56 adjusted yards-per-target (77th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson has been as one of the most effective QBs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to attempt 27.9 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered a meager 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 9th-best in football.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™