My Account Log Out

reorder

Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 224.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Lamar Jackson checks in as one of the most effective passers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 8.71 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 100th percentile.

This year, the shaky Buffalo Bills defense has given up a massive 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the biggest rate in the league.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 49.1% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 29.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™