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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 219.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 223.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Lamar Jackson has thrown for substantially more adjusted yards per game (252.0) this season than he did last season (225.0).

With an outstanding 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates as one of the most on-target passers in the NFL.

Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the most effective QBs in football this year, averaging an outstanding 8.74 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.55 seconds per play based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to throw 30.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the NFL against the Houston Texans defense this year (62.6% Adjusted Completion%).

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