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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Lamar Jackson's 252.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a significant boost in his throwing prowess over last season's 225.0 rate.
  • With an exceptional 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the most accurate QBs in the NFL.
  • With an outstanding 8.74 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates as one of the most efficient passers in football.
  • The Steelers cornerbacks profile as the worst CB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 28.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.

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