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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 214.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 215.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • With an impressive 8.53 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates among the most effective passers in football.
  • This year, the shaky New York Giants defense has given up a massive 74.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.
  • The Giants safeties profile as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects Lamar Jackson to throw 26.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • This year, the tough New York Giants defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a paltry 4.3 YAC.

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