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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 235.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 235.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year.

Lamar Jackson's 255.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season reflects a remarkable progression in his throwing skills over last season's 225.0 mark.

With an outstanding 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates as one of the best per-play passers in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.

The model projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

This year, the formidable Chargers defense has yielded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a paltry 7.3 yards.

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