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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.
  • Lamar Jackson has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (229.0) this season than he did last season (191.0).
  • Lamar Jackson's 72.4% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful gain in his passing accuracy over last year's 62.9% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.
  • In this game, Lamar Jackson is projected by the projection model to have the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.0.

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