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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 213.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 210.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 213.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 133.4 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Lamar Jackson has thrown for substantially more adjusted yards per game (222.0) this year than he did last year (191.0).

Lamar Jackson's 68.3% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteworthy boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 62.9% rate.

With an exceptional 7.85 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the best per-play quarterbacks in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Ravens being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 31.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the fewest out of all QBs.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.2 per game) this year.

This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has conceded a measly 168.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best in football.

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