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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 229.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 229.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 137.0 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
  • Lamar Jackson's 226.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents a remarkable improvement in his throwing proficiency over last season's 191.0 mark.
  • Lamar Jackson's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 62.9% to 68.0%.
  • Lamar Jackson profiles as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 7.88 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to throw 31.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • The Houston cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

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