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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the projections to call 66.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

Lamar Jackson's 221.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a significant boost in his throwing ability over last year's 191.0 rate.

Lamar Jackson's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 62.9% to 67.2%.

Lamar Jackson profiles as one of the most effective QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 7.58 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Dolphins defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.03 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Miami's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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