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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 217.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 219.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 217.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

The Ravens O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Lamar Jackson has passed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (216.0) this year than he did last year (191.0).

Lamar Jackson's 67.4% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a remarkable growth in his throwing precision over last year's 62.9% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 57.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Ravens to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to average the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.5.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, giving up 6.79 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in football.

The San Francisco 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.11 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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