Lamar Jackson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Passing Yards

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 212.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 201.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 212.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New York Giants safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in football since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens have used play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 33.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.

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