Lamar Jackson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Passing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 228.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 223.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Lamar Jackson's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 64.0% to 67.6%.
Lamar Jackson has been among the most effective passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.94 yards-per-target while checking in at the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 33.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in football versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year (65.2%).

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