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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 215.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 214.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.3 plays per game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Lamar Jackson has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 7.78 yards-per-target while ranking in the 85th percentile.
  • The New England Patriots defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
  • The New England Patriots have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 27.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 198.0 per game) against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season.

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