Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Pass Attempts

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.6 per game) this year.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.
The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
The projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 28.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.

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