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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens have been the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 55.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
  • Lamar Jackson has attempted a measly 27.9 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.

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