Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Pass Attempts

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Ravens have been the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 55.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
Lamar Jackson has attempted a measly 27.9 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among quarterbacks.

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