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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 33.2 passes this week, on average: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.

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