Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Pass Attempts

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 130.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
In this contest, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the projections to average the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.7.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 27.6 per game) this year.

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