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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.6 per game) this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have intercepted 0.50 targets per game this year, ranking as the 9th-worst defense in the NFL by this metric
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 28.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Lamar Jackson has logged a measly 0.20 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.

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