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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
  • Los Angeles's defense grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year when it comes to inducing interceptions, notching just 0.53 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Ravens as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • This week, Lamar Jackson is expected by the model to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.7.
  • Lamar Jackson has averaged a measly 0.47 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

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