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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens offense to lean 3.6% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Bengals safeties rank as the worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 51.6% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Ravens are anticipated by the predictive model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • In this game, Lamar Jackson is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 3rd-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 29.7.
  • Lamar Jackson has thrown a lowly 0.55 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.

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