Lamar Jackson Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Interceptions

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have intercepted 0.25 balls per game this year, ranking as the worst defense in the NFL by this metric
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks grade out as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The New Orleans Saints pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 58.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 34.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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