Lamar Jackson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Completions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 22, 2024 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.
In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is expected by the predictive model to have the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.5.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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