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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Since the start of last season, the porous Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered a massive 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to attempt 27.9 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's unit has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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