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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • With an outstanding 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates as one of the most on-target passers in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.55 seconds per play based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to throw 30.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the NFL against the Houston Texans defense this year (62.6% Adjusted Completion%).

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