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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.

The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.6 per game) this year.

Lamar Jackson grades out as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an outstanding 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 78th percentile.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

The projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 28.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.

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