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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Lamar Jackson's 71.6% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a a material growth in his throwing accuracy over last year's 62.9% rate.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football versus the Titans defense this year (78.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Titans linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 52.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • This week, Lamar Jackson is anticipated by the projections to total the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.1.

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