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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ +103 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 31.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year (67.3%).

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