Lamar Jackson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Completions

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ +103 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 31.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year (67.3%).

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