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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 68.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (74.4%).
  • The New York Jets linebackers project as the worst group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 28.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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