Lamar Jackson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Completions

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 68.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (74.4%).
The New York Jets linebackers project as the worst group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 28.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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