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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).

The projections expect Lamar Jackson to total 9.8 carries this week, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

Taking on 32.0% of his offense's rush attempts this year (95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a serious weapon with his legs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Washington's LB corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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