Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 6, 2024 4:16 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-146/+112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 51.1% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 3rd-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 9.7.
Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 31.6% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.

Favors Under

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.

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