Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 7:22 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.
The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to accumulate 11.3 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.
After taking on 30.2% of his team's carries last season, Lamar Jackson has been more involved in the running game this season, now taking on 50.0%.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.56 seconds per play.
The Raiders defensive tackles rank as the best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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