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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to notch 8.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.
  • Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to call his own number, making up 27.3% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's safety corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

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