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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.8% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Lamar Jackson to garner 8.6 carries in this game, on average: the most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Taking on 29.1% of his team's run game usage this year (100th percentile among QBs), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a significant threat in the run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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