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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to garner 9.1 carries in this game, on average: the most among all QBs.

Taking on 30.7% of his offense's rush attempts last year (100th percentile among quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a major threat in Baltimore's rushing attack.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's collection of safeties has been awful last year, profiling as the 10th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

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