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Lamar Jackson
NFL · Player Props
Lamar Jackson
QB · Baltimore Ravens
Carries
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 2, 2023 Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Lamar Jackson Carries

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Favors Over
  • The Ravens have been the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 44.9% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to notch 7.9 carries in this contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Favors Under
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Lamar Jackson has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (20.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (28.7%).
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