Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to accrue 10.5 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (33.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.9% in games he has played).
The Denver Broncos defensive ends profile as the 3rd-worst DE corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.

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