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Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-103/-122).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +111 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -103.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 61.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.With a sizeable 8.3% Red Zone Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, Kyren Williams has been as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.With an excellent 90.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams places among the most reliable receivers in football among running backs.Kyren Williams ranks in the 80th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.11 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect the Rams to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats deflated) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Eagles, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.Kyren Williams has received 54.5% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in just the 15th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling just -2.0 per game.
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