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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats deflated) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.

This week, Kyren Williams is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 84th percentile among running backs with 15.9 rush attempts.

With an outstanding tally of 83.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (96th percentile), Kyren Williams has been among the top pure runners in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to run on 38.3% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Rams to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

While Kyren Williams has accounted for 77.0% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's run game in this week's contest at 66.7%.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense boasts the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.31 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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