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Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 76.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 70.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 131.0 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.The model projects Kyren Williams to notch 19.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.Out of all RBs, Kyren Williams ranks in the 100th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 82.5% of the workload in his team's ground game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to run on 37.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Kyren Williams's 80.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a substantial decrease in his rushing ability over last season's 99.0 figure.Kyren Williams's 4.1 adjusted yards per carry this year illustrates a material drop-off in his rushing ability over last year's 5.2 mark.
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