Kyren Williams Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 4, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyren Williams Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+369/-743).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -644 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -743.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have run for the 6th-most touchdowns in the league (1.18 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Rams are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 40.2% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per snap.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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