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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-182/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 61.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

With an extraordinary 62.0% Route Participation% (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.

With an excellent 90.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams places among the most reliable receivers in football among running backs.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Rams to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats deflated) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Eagles, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

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